Treowen Stars 1-0 Cardiff Draconians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
15%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.0pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treowen Stars EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff Draconians EU Bookmakers 48%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+55% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treowen Stars
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cardiff Draconians
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
08.11.2025 Cardiff Draconians 4-3 HT 1-2 Treowen Stars GALFAW
POST-MATCH Treowen Stars vs Cardiff Draconians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treowen Stars squeezed past Cardiff Draconians 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Treowen Stars found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Treowen Stars vs Cardiff Draconians?

Treowen Stars 1-0 Cardiff Draconians in the Wales - FAW Championship on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treowen Stars vs Cardiff Draconians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cardiff Draconians win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Treowen Stars 32%, draw 28%, Cardiff Draconians 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cardiff Draconians), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cardiff Draconians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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