Pontypridd Town AFC 2-0 Baglan Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
21%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.81
No
40%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
17%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-4.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
51%
+9.0pp
40%
BTTS No
49%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
2.13/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.34
+10% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +40%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Baglan Dragons
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
27.07.2025 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 3-0 HT 2-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
17.01.2025 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
26.10.2024 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 2-2 HT 1-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Baglan Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC beat Baglan Dragons 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pontypridd Town AFC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pontypridd Town AFC and 1.67 for Baglan Dragons.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Baglan Dragons?

Pontypridd Town AFC 2-0 Baglan Dragons in the Wales - FAW Championship on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Baglan Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 51%, draw 27%, Baglan Dragons 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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