Pontypridd Town AFC 1-0 Baglan Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 17 Jan 2025

Pontypridd Town AFC
1-0 HT 1-0
Baglan Dragons
📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Pontypridd Town AFC vs Baglan Dragons Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pontypridd Town AFC v Baglan Dragons — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 24%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.82/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.12
-15% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +92%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Pontypridd Town AFC vs Baglan Dragons Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Baglan Dragons
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
26.10.2024 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 2-2 HT 1-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Baglan Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC edged past Baglan Dragons 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pontypridd Town AFC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Baglan Dragons?

Pontypridd Town AFC 1-0 Baglan Dragons in the Wales - FAW Championship on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Baglan Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 51%, draw 22%, Baglan Dragons 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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