Trefelin 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
34%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.39
No
47%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-13.9pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
20%
+13.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.9pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 24%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.59/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/3.34
-33% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
10.08.2024 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-3 HT 0-3 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
17.04.2024 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 4-1 HT 3-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
23.09.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 1-2 HT 0-2 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
15.04.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-1 HT 0-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
01.10.2022 Trefelin Trefelin 3-1 HT 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
22.01.2022 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 2-1 HT 1-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Cwmbran Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin edged past Cwmbran Celtic 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trefelin as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cwmbran Celtic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Trefelin and 1.83 for Cwmbran Celtic.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Trefelin 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 47%, draw 19%, Cwmbran Celtic 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trefelin) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trefelin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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