Caerau (Ely) 2-1 Ammanford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-3.7pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.8pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Ammanford EU Bookmakers 23%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
2.78/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.78
+18% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
406 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caerau (Ely)
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Ammanford
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.11.2024 Ammanford Ammanford 0-2 HT 0-0 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALFAW
29.03.2024 Ammanford Ammanford 1-1 HT 1-0 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALFAW
12.08.2023 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 1-2 HT 0-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caerau (Ely) vs Ammanford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caerau (Ely) edged past Ammanford 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Caerau (Ely) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Caerau (Ely) and 1.00 for Ammanford.

What was the final score of Caerau (Ely) vs Ammanford?

Caerau (Ely) 2-1 Ammanford in the Wales - FAW Championship on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caerau (Ely) vs Ammanford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Caerau (Ely) 57%, draw 18%, Ammanford 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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