Baglan Dragons 2-2 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Oct 2024

Baglan Dragons
2-2 HT 1-0
Pontypridd Town AFC
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
1.91
Over 2.5
63%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.68
No
35%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.6pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
48%
-11.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
52%
+11.6pp
65%
BTTS Yes
56%
+9.1pp
35%
BTTS No
44%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baglan Dragons v Pontypridd Town AFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 49%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.97/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.29
-41% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +24%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
198 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 88%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baglan Dragons and Pontypridd Town AFC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pontypridd Town AFC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Baglan Dragons 2-2 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 33%, draw 21%, Pontypridd Town AFC 46%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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