Ruthin Town 2-0 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.63
Over 2.5
66%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.39
No
36%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.4pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.5pp
34%
Under 2.5
34%
-0.6pp
66%
Over 2.5
66%
+0.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.2pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.07/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.69
+8% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruthin Town
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Guilsfield
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
26.08.2024 Guilsfield 3-1 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
20.01.2024 Guilsfield 2-1 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
06.10.2023 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Guilsfield GALFAW
10.04.2023 Guilsfield 3-0 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
19.08.2022 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Guilsfield GALFAW
12.02.2022 Guilsfield 1-1 HT 0-1 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ruthin Town vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruthin Town saw off Guilsfield 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ruthin Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guilsfield led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ruthin Town and 2.00 for Guilsfield.

What was the final score of Ruthin Town vs Guilsfield?

Ruthin Town 2-0 Guilsfield in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruthin Town vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruthin Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ruthin Town 44%, draw 19%, Guilsfield 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ruthin Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ruthin Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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