Guilsfield 3-1 Ruthin Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.38
No
41%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.0pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+11.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-11.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.3pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.65/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.79
-14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guilsfield
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Ruthin Town
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
20.01.2024 Guilsfield 2-1 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
06.10.2023 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Guilsfield GALFAW
10.04.2023 Guilsfield 3-0 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
19.08.2022 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Guilsfield GALFAW
12.02.2022 Guilsfield 1-1 HT 0-1 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Guilsfield vs Ruthin Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guilsfield saw off Ruthin Town 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guilsfield as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Guilsfield had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Guilsfield and 0.60 for Ruthin Town.

What was the final score of Guilsfield vs Ruthin Town?

Guilsfield 3-1 Ruthin Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guilsfield vs Ruthin Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guilsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Guilsfield 44%, draw 23%, Ruthin Town 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guilsfield), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guilsfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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