Baglan Dragons 3-0 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 27 Jul 2025

Baglan Dragons
3-0 HT 2-0
Pontypridd Town AFC
📅27/07/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2025/2026

Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.6pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baglan Dragons v Pontypridd Town AFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.41/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.51
-16% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town AFC Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baglan Dragons
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
17.01.2025 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
26.10.2024 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 2-2 HT 1-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baglan Dragons swept aside Pontypridd Town AFC 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Baglan Dragons made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pontypridd Town AFC led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Baglan Dragons and 1.50 for Pontypridd Town AFC.

What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Baglan Dragons 3-0 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baglan Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 38%, draw 26%, Pontypridd Town AFC 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baglan Dragons), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baglan Dragons) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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