Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zalgiris Vilnius v Dziugas Telsiai — Team-Based Signals
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Zalgiris Vilnius 2-3 Dziugas Telsiai — Actual Match Statistics
Dziugas Telsiai edged past Zalgiris Vilnius 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Zalgiris Vilnius carried 69% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 66% of the ball to Dziugas Telsiai's 34%, shots finished 16-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 0.83 for Dziugas Telsiai.
What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai?
Zalgiris Vilnius 2-3 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai?
Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 69%, draw 17%, Dziugas Telsiai 14%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), BTTS No went the other way.