Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒19:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.7pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.53/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/0.80
+47% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
18.08.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 HT 1-1 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
19.06.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-4 HT 0-3 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
21.04.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 HT 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
27.08.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-1 HT 2-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
22.06.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-2 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
2-1
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
71% Ball Possession 29%
28 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius nicked a narrow win over Dziugas Telsiai 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 71% of the ball to Dziugas Telsiai's 29%, shots finished 28-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 0.83 for Dziugas Telsiai.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 56%, draw 23%, Dziugas Telsiai 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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