FK Panevezys 1-3 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-5.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.3pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.48/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.79
+7% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -55%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FA Siauliai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-3 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
26.09.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
01.06.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
10.04.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
30.10.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
24.07.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Panevezys
1-3
AWAY FA Siauliai
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai beat FK Panevezys 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; FA Siauliai found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Panevezys had 51% of the ball to FA Siauliai's 49%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FK Panevezys and 1.17 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs FA Siauliai?

FK Panevezys 1-3 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated an FA Siauliai win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 31%, draw 30%, FA Siauliai 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FA Siauliai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FA Siauliai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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