FK Panevezys 1-3 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.67
Over 2.5
32%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.88
No
65%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
56%
+11.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
44%
-11.8pp
35%
BTTS Yes
49%
-13.8pp
65%
BTTS No
51%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 30%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.61/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/2.28
+58% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -61%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FA Siauliai
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
01.06.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
10.04.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
30.10.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
24.07.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
21.05.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai saw off FK Panevezys 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FK Panevezys at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FK Panevezys and 0.67 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs FA Siauliai?

FK Panevezys 1-3 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 44%, draw 30%, FA Siauliai 27%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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