Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 19%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.03/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.18/0.55
-39% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / +150%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
405 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
63% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 2-3 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
02.06.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
10.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
21.10.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-2 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
06.08.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
02.06.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
0-1
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dziugas Telsiai edged past Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kauno Zalgiris at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 59% of the ball to Dziugas Telsiai's 41%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 0.33 for Dziugas Telsiai.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 48%, draw 26%, Dziugas Telsiai 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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