Dziugas Telsiai 2-3 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
44%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
23%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.5pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.5pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-8.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 56%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
2.59/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+150% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -46%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.06.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
10.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
21.10.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-2 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
06.08.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
02.06.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
05.04.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
POST-MATCH Dziugas Telsiai vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris nicked a narrow win over Dziugas Telsiai 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Dziugas Telsiai and 1.50 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of Dziugas Telsiai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Dziugas Telsiai 2-3 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dziugas Telsiai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dziugas Telsiai 25%, draw 31%, Kauno Zalgiris 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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