Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.37
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
69%
-17.4pp
27%
Draw
19%
+7.6pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 15%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
2.28/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.99
+10% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
404 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-1 HT 2-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
22.06.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-2 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
23.04.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-2 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
05.03.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-3 HT 2-2 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
30.10.2022 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 6-0 HT 2-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
03.09.2022 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-1 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
3-1
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Zalgiris Vilnius beat Dziugas Telsiai 3-1 in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 21 Apr 2024. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 44%.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 68% of the ball to Dziugas Telsiai's 32%, shots finished 17-3.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.00 for Dziugas Telsiai.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 51%, draw 27%, Dziugas Telsiai 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
21 Apr 2024
13:00 FK Panevezys vs TransINVEST Vilnius Analysis →
15:00 Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga Gargzdai Analysis →