FC Cajamarca 3-1 Melgar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
50%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
50%
Away Win
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Melgar EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
Crosses 19.1
Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cajamarca
3-1
AWAY Melgar
0.66 xG 0.56
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
325 Passes 220
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
10 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ FC Cajamarca vs Melgar
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FC Cajamarca beat Melgar 3-1 in the Peru - Premier League on 21 Feb 2026. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Cajamarca had 57% of the ball to Melgar's 43%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.66 to 0.56.

What was the final score of FC Cajamarca vs Melgar?

FC Cajamarca 3-1 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cajamarca vs Melgar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FC Cajamarca 27%, draw 23%, Melgar 50%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melgar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melgar) ✓ BTTS Yes
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