Alianza Lima 1-0 Sport Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
11%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
34%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
15%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
67%
+0.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
11%
Away Win
12%
-1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 15%
+6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.79/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.86
+4% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 70%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
21.0 Crosses 12.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Lima
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sport Boys
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.90 xG 0.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
292 Passes 207
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2025 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 3-1 HT 1-1 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
24.05.2025 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
22.09.2024 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-3 HT 0-2 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
19.04.2024 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 3-0 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
16.07.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
13.02.2023 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 2-0 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Lima
1-0
AWAY Sport Boys
1.14 xG 0.36
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
379 Passes 219
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 6
19 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alianza Lima vs Sport Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima nicked a narrow win over Sport Boys 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Alianza Lima had 60% of the ball to Sport Boys's 40%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.14 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.33 for Sport Boys.

What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Sport Boys?

Alianza Lima 1-0 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Sport Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 67%, draw 22%, Sport Boys 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Lima) ✓ BTTS No
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PER More Peru - Premier League
21 Feb 2026
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