Sport Boys 0-3 Alianza Lima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
49%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+9.6pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.9pp
49%
Away Win
64%
-14.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 69%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.90/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.47
+15% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +48%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
13.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
17.1 Crosses 18.9
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Boys
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.57 xG 1.19
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
246 Passes 305
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 3-0 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
16.07.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
13.02.2023 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 2-0 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
17.07.2022 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 3-1 HT 2-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
13.02.2022 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
01.08.2021 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Boys
0-3
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.17 xG 1.82
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
194 Passes 261
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima cruised past Sport Boys 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Sport Boys had 44% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 56%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.17 to 1.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sport Boys and 1.33 for Alianza Lima.

What was the final score of Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima?

Sport Boys 0-3 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sport Boys 24%, draw 27%, Alianza Lima 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Lima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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