Cusco FC 1-1 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.7pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.36/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.46
-12% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
18.8 Crosses 17.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.91 xG 1.89
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
292 Passes 381
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 2-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
30.09.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 4-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
21.05.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-2 HT 0-2 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
23.08.2021 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-1 HT 4-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
19.06.2021 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-2 HT 2-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PERKB
08.05.2021 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
1-1
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.47 xG 1.11
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
357 Passes 174
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC and Sporting Cristal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cusco FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Cusco FC had 62% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 38%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.47 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cusco FC and 2.50 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs Sporting Cristal?

Cusco FC 1-1 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 44%, draw 25%, Sporting Cristal 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cusco FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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