Sporting Cristal 2-0 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.28
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
74%
-8.3pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.0pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+2.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 12%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
2.08/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.12
+23% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 78%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
24.0 Crosses 13.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Cristal
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Cusco FC
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.07 xG 0.93
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
419 Passes 260
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 4-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
21.05.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-2 HT 0-2 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
23.08.2021 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-1 HT 4-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
19.06.2021 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-2 HT 2-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PERKB
08.05.2021 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
09.02.2020 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-2 HT 3-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
2-0
AWAY Cusco FC
1.47 xG 0.61
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
262 Passes 414
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Cristal vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal got the better of Cusco FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sporting Cristal had 40% of the ball to Cusco FC's 60%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.47 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sporting Cristal and 2.00 for Cusco FC.

What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Cusco FC?

Sporting Cristal 2-0 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 66%, draw 22%, Cusco FC 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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