Atletico Grau vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Grau v Melgar — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Grau vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Grau
PER
3-0
Melgar
PER
2-1
HT 0-1
Melgar
PER
1-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Grau
PER
3-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Grau
PER
Atletico Grau 1-2 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar nicked a narrow win over Atletico Grau 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Melgar found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atletico Grau had 57% of the ball to Melgar's 43%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.58 to 1.66.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Grau and 1.60 for Melgar.
What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs Melgar?
Atletico Grau 1-2 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs Melgar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 38%, draw 30%, Melgar 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.