Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sport Boys v Alianza Lima — Team-Based Signals
Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Lima
PER
2-0
HT 1-0
Sport Boys
PER
3-1
HT 2-0
Sport Boys
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
Sport Boys 0-1 Alianza Lima — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima nicked a narrow win over Sport Boys 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Sport Boys had 52% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 48%, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 0.52 to 1.95 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Alianza Lima's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sport Boys and 1.83 for Alianza Lima.
What was the final score of Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima?
Sport Boys 0-1 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sport Boys 26%, draw 25%, Alianza Lima 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.