Atletico Grau 3-0 Binacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-14.3pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.6pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Binacional EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +15%
1.60/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.91
-12% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 72%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
24.3 Crosses 11.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Grau
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Binacional
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.70 xG 1.47
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
257 Passes 340
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2023 Binacional Binacional 2-4 HT 0-1 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
28.08.2022 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 3-1 HT 2-0 Binacional Binacional PER
09.04.2022 Binacional Binacional 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
24.11.2020 Binacional Binacional 1-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
07.10.2020 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 2-2 HT 1-1 Binacional Binacional PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Grau
3-0
AWAY Binacional
2.92 xG 0.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 3
11 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
503 Passes 284
93% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 5
22 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Grau vs Binacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Grau swept aside Binacional 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Grau as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Atletico Grau had 61% of the ball to Binacional's 39%, shots finished 23-3, expected goals 2.92 to 0.17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Atletico Grau had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Atletico Grau and 1.40 for Binacional.

What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs Binacional?

Atletico Grau 3-0 Binacional in the Peru - Premier League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs Binacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 57%, draw 24%, Binacional 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Grau), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Grau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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