Comerciantes Unidos 1-2 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.15/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.56
-10% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
22.2 Crosses 19.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Cusco FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.10 xG 0.74
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
305 Passes 274
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
08.04.2024 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-1 HT 0-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
25.09.2022 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 HT 0-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PERU2
23.10.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
30.07.2018 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
28.11.2017 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 2-3 HT 0-2 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
1-2
AWAY Cusco FC
0.40 xG 1.70
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
212 Passes 410
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC squeezed past Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Cusco FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 38% of the ball to Cusco FC's 62%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.40 to 1.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cusco FC's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cusco FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.33 for Cusco FC.

What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco FC?

Comerciantes Unidos 1-2 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Comerciantes Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 39%, draw 23%, Cusco FC 38%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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