Cusco FC 2-1 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.28
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
74%
-7.8pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.7pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+6.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 11%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.67/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.81
-5% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -20%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 72%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.7
18.5 Crosses 12.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.74 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
280 Passes 293
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2024 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-1 HT 0-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
25.09.2022 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 HT 0-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PERU2
23.10.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
30.07.2018 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
28.11.2017 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 2-3 HT 0-2 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
06.08.2017 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
2-1
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
307 Passes 262
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC nicked a narrow win over Comerciantes Unidos 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cusco FC as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cusco FC had 53% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 47%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cusco FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cusco FC and 1.00 for Comerciantes Unidos.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Cusco FC 2-1 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 66%, draw 19%, Comerciantes Unidos 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cusco FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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