Sport Huancayo 1-2 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.08/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.29
-4% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
17.1 Crosses 18.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Huancayo
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.23 xG 1.70
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
348 Passes 331
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
03.10.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 2-0 HT 1-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
29.05.2023 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
09.07.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-3 HT 3-1 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
05.02.2022 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
06.08.2021 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Huancayo
1-2
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.76 xG 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
368 Passes 265
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sport Huancayo vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal nicked a narrow win over Sport Huancayo 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Sporting Cristal found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sport Huancayo had 56% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 44%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 1.76 to 0.83 — on chances, Sport Huancayo could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sport Huancayo and 2.33 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of Sport Huancayo vs Sporting Cristal?

Sport Huancayo 1-2 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Huancayo vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Huancayo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sport Huancayo 40%, draw 28%, Sporting Cristal 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sport Huancayo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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