Cesar Vallejo 1-0 Union Comercio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.1pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.8pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesar Vallejo EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Comercio EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.69/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.90
-8% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 71%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.7
21.2 Crosses 9.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesar Vallejo
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Union Comercio
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.71 xG 1.14
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
311 Passes 298
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Union Comercio Union Comercio 2-2 HT 1-1 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
21.07.2023 Union Comercio Union Comercio 1-4 HT 1-2 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
18.02.2023 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 3-1 HT 0-1 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
08.09.2019 Union Comercio Union Comercio 0-0 HT 0-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
25.03.2019 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 3-0 HT 1-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
25.10.2015 Union Comercio Union Comercio 1-2 HT 0-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesar Vallejo
1-0
AWAY Union Comercio
0.57 xG 0.58
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
282 Passes 277
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cesar Vallejo vs Union Comercio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesar Vallejo squeezed past Union Comercio 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cesar Vallejo as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Cesar Vallejo had 51% of the ball to Union Comercio's 49%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.57 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesar Vallejo had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Cesar Vallejo and 0.83 for Union Comercio.

What was the final score of Cesar Vallejo vs Union Comercio?

Cesar Vallejo 1-0 Union Comercio in the Peru - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesar Vallejo vs Union Comercio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesar Vallejo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cesar Vallejo 55%, draw 25%, Union Comercio 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cesar Vallejo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cesar Vallejo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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