Union Comercio 2-2 Cesar Vallejo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Comercio EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesar Vallejo EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +19%
1.26/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.72
+25% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +89%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
256 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
15.7 Crosses 15.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Comercio
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cesar Vallejo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.14 xG 1.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
313 Passes 306
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2023 Union Comercio Union Comercio 1-4 HT 1-2 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
18.02.2023 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 3-1 HT 0-1 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
08.09.2019 Union Comercio Union Comercio 0-0 HT 0-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
25.03.2019 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 3-0 HT 1-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
25.10.2015 Union Comercio Union Comercio 1-2 HT 0-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
20.07.2015 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Comercio
2-2
AWAY Cesar Vallejo
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
238 Passes 331
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH Union Comercio vs Cesar Vallejo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Comercio and Cesar Vallejo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Comercio had 43% of the ball to Cesar Vallejo's 57%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesar Vallejo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Union Comercio and 2.00 for Cesar Vallejo.

What was the final score of Union Comercio vs Cesar Vallejo?

Union Comercio 2-2 Cesar Vallejo in the Peru - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Comercio vs Cesar Vallejo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Comercio win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Union Comercio 36%, draw 28%, Cesar Vallejo 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5
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