Universitario 1-0 Alianza Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.28
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-10.0pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.8pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+5.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.1pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.73/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.81
-7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 72%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
21.3 Crosses 10.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Alianza Atletico
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.23 xG 0.73
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
368 Passes 190
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.07.2023 Universitario Universitario 2-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
14.05.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 3-1 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
30.09.2022 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-2 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
07.05.2022 Universitario Universitario 3-1 HT 2-1 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
19.07.2021 Universitario Universitario 2-2 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
01.05.2021 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-2 HT 0-1 Universitario Universitario PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario
1-0
AWAY Alianza Atletico
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
288 Passes 147
70% Pass Accuracy 57%
POST-MATCH Universitario vs Alianza Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario squeezed past Alianza Atletico 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Universitario had 62% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 38%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Universitario and 1.50 for Alianza Atletico.

What was the final score of Universitario vs Alianza Atletico?

Universitario 1-0 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario vs Alianza Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Universitario 64%, draw 22%, Alianza Atletico 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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