Cultural San 2-2 Melgar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural San EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Melgar EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural San
2-2
AWAY Melgar
1.20 xG 0.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
205 Passes 282
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cultural San vs Melgar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural San and Melgar couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Melgar at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cultural San had 46% of the ball to Melgar's 54%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.20 to 0.96.

What was the final score of Cultural San vs Melgar?

Cultural San 2-2 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural San vs Melgar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cultural San 33%, draw 25%, Melgar 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Melgar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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