Alianza Lima vs Sport Boys Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v Sport Boys — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs Sport Boys Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Lima
PER
2-0
HT 1-0
Sport Boys
PER
3-1
HT 2-0
Sport Boys
PER
Alianza Lima 3-1 Sport Boys — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima got the better of Sport Boys 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Alianza Lima had 64% of the ball to Sport Boys's 36%, shots finished 28-5, expected goals 2.37 to 0.20.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.33 for Sport Boys.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Sport Boys?
Alianza Lima 3-1 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Sport Boys?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 63%, draw 19%, Sport Boys 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.