Ruch Chorzow 2-3 Polonia Warszawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2026

Ruch Chorzow
2-3 HT 0-2
Polonia Warszawa
📅21/02/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Ruch Chorzow vs Polonia Warszawa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.27
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
27%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
40%
+12.1pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.2pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-5.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ruch Chorzow v Polonia Warszawa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
1.50/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.19
+4% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Ruch Chorzow vs Polonia Warszawa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruch Chorzow
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.08.2025 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 0-0 HT 0-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL1
24.11.2024 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 1-0 HT 1-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL1
22.04.2013 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 2-1 HT 0-0 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL
21.10.2012 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 2-1 HT 2-1 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
20.04.2012 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 0-1 HT 0-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
31.10.2011 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 0-1 HT 0-0 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL

Ruch Chorzow 2-3 Polonia Warszawa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ruch Chorzow
2-3
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 12
7 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ruch Chorzow vs Polonia Warszawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Warszawa nicked a narrow win over Ruch Chorzow 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ruch Chorzow at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ruch Chorzow had 50% of the ball to Polonia Warszawa's 50%, shots finished 12-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Polonia Warszawa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ruch Chorzow and 0.83 for Polonia Warszawa.

What was the final score of Ruch Chorzow vs Polonia Warszawa?

Ruch Chorzow 2-3 Polonia Warszawa in the Poland - 1st Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruch Chorzow vs Polonia Warszawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruch Chorzow win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ruch Chorzow 52%, draw 21%, Polonia Warszawa 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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