Polonia Warszawa 1-0 Ruch Chorzow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
15.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 45%
-19% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.95/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.70
-18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +59%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Warszawa
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.04.2013 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 2-1 HT 0-0 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL
21.10.2012 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 2-1 HT 2-1 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
20.04.2012 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 0-1 HT 0-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
31.10.2011 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 0-1 HT 0-0 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Warszawa
1-0
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Warszawa edged past Ruch Chorzow 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Polonia Warszawa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Polonia Warszawa had 51% of the ball to Ruch Chorzow's 49%, shots finished 16-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Polonia Warszawa and 1.00 for Ruch Chorzow.

What was the final score of Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzow?

Polonia Warszawa 1-0 Ruch Chorzow in the Poland - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Warszawa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Polonia Warszawa 37%, draw 28%, Ruch Chorzow 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Warszawa) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Warszawa) ✗ BTTS Yes
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