Warta Poznan 2-1 Pogon Siedlce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.28/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.90
-11% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
2-1
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Pogon Siedlce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warta Poznan edged past Pogon Siedlce 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Warta Poznan as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 53% of the ball to Pogon Siedlce's 47%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Pogon Siedlce?

Warta Poznan 2-1 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Pogon Siedlce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warta Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 42%, draw 27%, Pogon Siedlce 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Warta Poznan), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Warta Poznan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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