Arka Gdynia 5-1 Stal Stalowa Wola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.75
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
11.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.31 — our 30% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
67%
-9.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.2pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 16%
-9% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.07/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.70
+12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
464 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 7
25.09.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 2-2 HT 1-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
5-1
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Stal Stalowa Wola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia swept aside Stal Stalowa Wola 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arka Gdynia as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 66% of the ball to Stal Stalowa Wola's 34%, shots finished 20-8.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Arka Gdynia 5-1 Stal Stalowa Wola in the Poland - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 57%, draw 22%, Stal Stalowa Wola 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arka Gdynia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
24 Nov 2024
14:00 Warta Poznan vs Pogon Siedlce Analysis →
16:30 Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzow Analysis →