Stal Stalowa Wola 2-2 Arka Gdynia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
50%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+7.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
50%
Away Win
57%
-7.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 61%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
2.00/0.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.49/0.75
+56% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / +49%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
244 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
2-2
AWAY Arka Gdynia
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
7 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stal Stalowa Wola vs Arka Gdynia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Stalowa Wola and Arka Gdynia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Arka Gdynia at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Stal Stalowa Wola had 46% of the ball to Arka Gdynia's 54%, shots finished 13-17.

What was the final score of Stal Stalowa Wola vs Arka Gdynia?

Stal Stalowa Wola 2-2 Arka Gdynia in the Poland - Cup on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Arka Gdynia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Stal Stalowa Wola 27%, draw 23%, Arka Gdynia 50%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arka Gdynia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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