Alverca 1-1 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.51
Over
38%
2.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.05
No
53%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.21
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
15%
5.11
6+
3%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.75
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
12%
6.01
X/2
14%
5.03
X/X
22%
3.57
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
20%
3.6
2/X
5%
13.65
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Alverca The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara The Market 42%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.20 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.05
1.37 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.12
Weak Attack Strength Bad
Bad Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
13 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alverca
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Santa Clara
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.45 xG 1.89
45% Ball Possession 55%
3 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 7
260 Passes 341
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
4 Box Touches 25
7 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 6
20.09.2025 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-1 HT 1-1 Alverca Alverca POR
13.01.2002 Alverca Alverca 3-1 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
02.09.2001 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-1 HT 0-1 Alverca Alverca POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alverca
1 - 1
AWAY Santa Clara
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
271 Passes 374
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
REVIEW Alverca vs Santa Clara
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Alverca and Santa Clara shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

A draw from a 31% / 33% / 36% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Alverca had 45% of the ball to Santa Clara's 55%, shots finished 7-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Santa Clara led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alverca and 1.67 for Santa Clara.

Alverca vs Santa Clara Result & Final Score

Alverca 1 - 1 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Alverca vs Santa Clara Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alverca 31%, draw 33%, Santa Clara 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santa Clara), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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