Chiangrai United vs Chonburi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Chiangrai United v Chonburi — Team-Based Signals
Chiangrai United vs Chonburi Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Chiangrai United 1-3 Chonburi — Actual Match Statistics
Chonburi had too much for Chiangrai United 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Chiangrai United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 52%. If anything the market was more convinced: the over-2.5 price stood at 1.92, roughly 52%.
On the day, Chiangrai United had 46% of the ball to Chonburi's 54%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.60 to 0.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chiangrai United had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Chiangrai United and 1.20 for Chonburi.
Chiangrai United vs Chonburi Result & Final Score
Chiangrai United 1 - 3 Chonburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Chiangrai United vs Chonburi Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Chiangrai United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chiangrai United 43%, draw 28%, Chonburi 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chiangrai United), Under 2.5 went the other way.