Chonburi 2-0 Chiangrai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
50%
+4.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chonburi EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 29%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.34/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.37
-12% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
23.5 Crosses 12.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chonburi
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Chiangrai United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.03 xG 1.07
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
349 Passes 261
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2022 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-1 HT 1-0 Chonburi Chonburi TAY
06.02.2022 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-0 HT 0-0 Chonburi Chonburi TAY
01.10.2021 Chonburi Chonburi 2-3 HT 2-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chonburi
2-0
AWAY Chiangrai United
0.91 xG 0.76
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
332 Passes 286
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chonburi vs Chiangrai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chonburi saw off Chiangrai United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chonburi as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chonburi had 53% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 47%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 0.91 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chiangrai United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chonburi and 1.67 for Chiangrai United.

What was the final score of Chonburi vs Chiangrai United?

Chonburi 2-0 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chonburi vs Chiangrai United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chonburi win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Chonburi 54%, draw 24%, Chiangrai United 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chonburi) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chonburi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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