Khonkaen Utd 4-0 Police Tero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.8pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khonkaen Utd EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Police Tero EU Bookmakers 29%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.50/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.27
-34% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
11.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
18.3 Crosses 15.3
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khonkaen Utd
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Police Tero
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.69 xG 0.85
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
263 Passes 238
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2023 Police Tero Police Tero 1-3 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
20.11.2022 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd 0-0 HT 0-0 Police Tero Police Tero TAY
19.03.2022 Police Tero Police Tero 1-1 HT 1-0 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
06.11.2021 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd 1-1 HT 1-1 Police Tero Police Tero TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khonkaen Utd
4-0
AWAY Police Tero
1.65 xG 0.58
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 2
250 Passes 298
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Khonkaen Utd vs Police Tero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khonkaen Utd ran out comfortable winners over Police Tero 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Khonkaen Utd as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Khonkaen Utd had 47% of the ball to Police Tero's 53%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.65 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Khonkaen Utd had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Khonkaen Utd and 0.75 for Police Tero.

What was the final score of Khonkaen Utd vs Police Tero?

Khonkaen Utd 4-0 Police Tero in the Thailand - 1st Division on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khonkaen Utd vs Police Tero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khonkaen Utd win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Khonkaen Utd 49%, draw 23%, Police Tero 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khonkaen Utd), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Khonkaen Utd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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