Ballard 0-1 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.21
Over
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.55
No Pick
54%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
42%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.6pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballard EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ballard
0-1
AWAY Spokane Velocity
0.88 xG 0.72
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
228 Passes 211
67% Pass Accuracy 62%
24 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ballard vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spokane Velocity edged past Ballard 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Spokane Velocity made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Ballard had 51% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 49%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.88 to 0.72.

What was the final score of Ballard vs Spokane Velocity?

Ballard 0-1 Spokane Velocity in the USA - Open Cup on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballard vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ballard 37%, draw 23%, Spokane Velocity 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spokane Velocity), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✓ BTTS No
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