Merida AD 1-0 Yeclano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.44
Over 2.5
42%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
1.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
6.06
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
66%
-7.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
34%
+7.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.7pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeclano EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -17%
1.39/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.13
+10% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merida AD
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Yeclano
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2024 Yeclano Yeclano 1-1 HT 1-1 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
08.03.2020 Yeclano Yeclano 2-2 HT 0-1 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
20.10.2019 Merida AD Merida AD 2-2 HT 1-2 Yeclano Yeclano İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
1-0
AWAY Yeclano
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs Yeclano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD nicked a narrow win over Yeclano 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Merida AD made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Merida AD had 56% of the ball to Yeclano's 44%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Merida AD and 1.67 for Yeclano.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs Yeclano?

Merida AD 1-0 Yeclano in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Yeclano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 38%, draw 30%, Yeclano 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merida AD), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Merida AD) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
21 Mar 2025
22:30 Athletic Bilbao II vs Barcelona II Analysis →
22:30 Real Madrid II vs Real Murcia Analysis →