Long Island Rough Riders 2-3 Charlotte Ind. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
36%
3.28
Away
24%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.4pp
37%
Draw
27%
+9.3pp
24%
Away Win
31%
-6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.7pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Long Island Rough Riders EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Ind. EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
261 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Long Island Rough Riders
2-3
AWAY Charlotte Ind.
0.41 xG 0.94
35% Ball Possession 65%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
214 Passes 548
61% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 23
8 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Long Island Rough Riders vs Charlotte Ind.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte Ind. squeezed past Long Island Rough Riders 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 37% / 24% — and on the day Charlotte Ind. made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Long Island Rough Riders had 35% of the ball to Charlotte Ind.'s 65%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.41 to 0.94.

What was the final score of Long Island Rough Riders vs Charlotte Ind.?

Long Island Rough Riders 2-3 Charlotte Ind. in the USA - Open Cup on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Long Island Rough Riders vs Charlotte Ind.?

Before kick-off our model rated a Long Island Rough Riders win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Long Island Rough Riders 40%, draw 37%, Charlotte Ind. 24%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Long Island Rough Riders), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Long Island Rough Riders) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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