Forward Madison 5-1 Duluth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 21 Mar 2025

Forward Madison
5-1 HT 1-0
Duluth
📅21/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USA - Open Cup – 2025

Forward Madison vs Duluth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
35%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
54%
-14.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
21%
+13.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forward Madison v Duluth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Duluth EU Bookmakers 24%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.36/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.15/1.36
-10% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.0
15.0 Crosses 11.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Forward Madison vs Duluth Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forward Madison
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Duluth
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.36 xG 0.15
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
570 Passes 303
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 4
15 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.03.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-0 HT 1-0 Duluth Duluth ABDK

Forward Madison 5-1 Duluth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forward Madison
5-1
AWAY Duluth
2.69 xG 0.57
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
616 Passes 271
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
53 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs Duluth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison swept aside Duluth 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Forward Madison found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Forward Madison had 66% of the ball to Duluth's 34%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 2.69 to 0.57.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs Duluth?

Forward Madison 5-1 Duluth in the USA - Open Cup on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs Duluth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 40%, draw 25%, Duluth 35%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forward Madison), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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