Forward Madison 2-0 Duluth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 20 Mar 2024

Forward Madison
2-0 HT 1-0
Duluth
📅20/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USA - Open Cup – 2024

Forward Madison vs Duluth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.9pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forward Madison v Duluth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Duluth EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Forward Madison 2-0 Duluth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forward Madison
2-0
AWAY Duluth
1.36 xG 0.15
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
570 Passes 303
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 4
15 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs Duluth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison saw off Duluth 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Forward Madison as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Forward Madison had 63% of the ball to Duluth's 37%, shots finished 7-2, expected goals 1.36 to 0.15.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs Duluth?

Forward Madison 2-0 Duluth in the USA - Open Cup on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs Duluth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 41%, draw 27%, Duluth 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forward Madison), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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