Vermont Green vs Lexington Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vermont Green v Lexington — Team-Based Signals
Vermont Green 4-3 Lexington — Actual Match Statistics
Vermont Green edged past Lexington 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Vermont Green as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vermont Green had 35% of the ball to Lexington's 65%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 2.54 to 2.99 — on chances, Lexington could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Vermont Green vs Lexington?
Vermont Green 4-3 Lexington in the USA - Open Cup on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vermont Green vs Lexington?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vermont Green win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vermont Green 43%, draw 26%, Lexington 31%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vermont Green) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.