Vermont Green vs Lexington Prediction — Model Probabilities
Vermont Green v Lexington — Team-Based Signals
Vermont Green 4-3 Lexington — Actual Match Statistics
Vermont Green found just enough to beat Lexington 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Lexington at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Small consolation: at 2.10 (roughly 48%) the price was further off than we were. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, Vermont Green had 35% of the ball to Lexington's 65%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 2.54 to 2.99 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lexington.
Vermont Green vs Lexington Result & Final Score
Vermont Green 4 - 3 Lexington in the USA - Open Cup on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Vermont Green vs Lexington Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vermont Green 33%, draw 25%, Lexington 41%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lexington) went the other way.