Portland Timbers II vs El Farolito Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portland Timbers II v El Farolito — Team-Based Signals
Portland Timbers II 1-2 El Farolito — Actual Match Statistics
El Farolito edged past Portland Timbers II 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; El Farolito found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Portland Timbers II had 48% of the ball to El Farolito's 52%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 1.20 to 1.79.
What was the final score of Portland Timbers II vs El Farolito?
Portland Timbers II 1-2 El Farolito in the USA - Open Cup on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portland Timbers II vs El Farolito?
Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers II 36%, draw 28%, El Farolito 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.