Guingamp (K) 2-6 PSG (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 21 Mar 2025

Guingamp (K)
2-6 HT 0-1
PSG (K)
📅21/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2025/2026

Guingamp (K) vs PSG (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
12.23
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
67%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.81
No
61%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
55%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
5%
+9.0pp
19%
Draw
9%
+9.9pp
67%
Away Win
85%
-18.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
32%
+7.8pp
61%
BTTS No
68%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guingamp (K) v PSG (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 91%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.63/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.45
+8% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -46%
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
195 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 512 · 84%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
9.0 Crosses 21.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Guingamp (K) vs PSG (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp (K)
0W-1D-2L
AWAY PSG (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.49 xG 2.34
29% Ball Possession 71%
3 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
160 Passes 506
65% Pass Accuracy 89%
6 Box Touches 39
8 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.09.2024 PSG (K) PSG (K) 4-0 HT 0-0 Guingamp (K) Guingamp (K) FRK1
13.04.2024 Guingamp (K) Guingamp (K) 3-3 HT 1-1 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
17.02.2024 PSG (K) PSG (K) 5-0 HT 2-0 Guingamp (K) Guingamp (K) FRK1

Guingamp (K) 2-6 PSG (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp (K)
2-6
AWAY PSG (K)
0.63 xG 2.86
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 5
249 Passes 491
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 35
10 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Guingamp (K) vs PSG (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG (K) ran out comfortable winners over Guingamp (K) 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSG (K) as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Guingamp (K) had 38% of the ball to PSG (K)'s 62%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 0.63 to 2.86.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, PSG (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guingamp (K) and 4.00 for PSG (K).

What was the final score of Guingamp (K) vs PSG (K)?

Guingamp (K) 2-6 PSG (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp (K) vs PSG (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Guingamp (K) 14%, draw 19%, PSG (K) 67%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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