Pontypridd Town AFC 1-2 Llanelli Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.82
Over 2.5
60%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
51%
-11.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
49%
+11.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.5pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Llanelli Town
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
26.08.2024 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
04.08.2023 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 1-4 HT 1-3 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALLK
02.04.2022 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 4-1 HT 1-1 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Llanelli Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llanelli Town edged past Pontypridd Town AFC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Llanelli Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pontypridd Town AFC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Pontypridd Town AFC and 1.67 for Llanelli Town.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Llanelli Town?

Pontypridd Town AFC 1-2 Llanelli Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Llanelli Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 30%, draw 25%, Llanelli Town 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llanelli Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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